Friday, January 29, 2010

Suburbs Appreciation in GTA: Are people rushing to take advantage of interest rates?


Let's do some quick analysis on the data in the article in The Star (Suburbs the big winner for price appreciation)

So E12, and E11 did well for appreciation. Why? Well, you would assume because interest rates are so low there were a lot of first time home buyers taking advantage of the times to buy a home. Well let's do some quick analysis with data from TREB (note this is for overall sales including semis, towns and condos - TREB doesn't break down totals for each housing class).



Both e12 and e11 had listings go down a significant amount. In e12 in particular, sales remained the same while listings went down 21.65%

It should be noted that both in 2008 and 2009 there was only 232 sales.

In e11 listings went down and sales went up, again showing a supply shortage. Following the trend, it only represented a total number increase of less than a 150 sales.

So it seems more of a listing crunch that is causing the appreciation - as opposed to a mad dash of "sub-prime" buyers teetering on the brink of insolvency.


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